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"a fish, a barrel, and a smoking gun" |
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Poor Bill Gates. First Judge Jackson finds that his company's a monopoly. Then Fortune passes him up for Industrialist of the Century. Only Dow Jones deemed Microsoft industrial enough to be included in its venerable basket of steel- and tampon-makers.
Indeed, Microsoft's inclusion in the Dow Jones Industrial Average may have delayed but not dissuaded Jackson; promised for a Friday, any Friday, his ruling didn't come out until after Halloween. Fear of a day-trading debacle that would pull down the Dow also delayed the findings until 6:30 p.m., well after not just the close of regular stock markets but after tech-heavy extended-hours trading.
Why the wait? Jackson's fact-finding mission didn't knock Microsoft stock. Was any of it a surprise? Internet Explorer crushed Netscape's business. Microsoft kept Intel out of the software business. Gates & Co. used Office as a club to keep Apple in line. Though pundits frothed at the
mouth language, Microsoft shareholders took it all in stride. Instead, stocks of Microsoft's competitors went on a bull run of their own, showing this economy's permanent Panglossianism. Even Apple was declared a winner, its stock at an all-time high. Perhaps that's what kept Microsoft afloat: It owns a chunk of Apple now, if you haven't forgotten that "Bill as Big Brother" episode.
The best thing for Microsoft might be a massive fine, in fact. It has no idea what to do with its billions of dollars in cash and is running out of places in which to stuff it. A
billion here and soon you're talking about a real stock portfolio. But Bill Gates hasn't figured out how to turn his founder's shares into market share off the PC's desktop. (We feel obliged to point out that we predicted in jest, mind you that Microsoft would put its Office suite up as a Web service.)
The truth is, most of Microsoft's attempts at diversification have been flops or are far from proving themselves. MSN? It couldn't hire a real media guy, so instead, Steve Ballmer hired his pal Rick Belluzzo, who had grown accustomed to stalled projects going nowhere fast at Silicon Graphics. MSN's turnaround will look a lot like SGI's. Windows CE? Handheld buyers have been shoving their palms in Microsoft's face, and big manufacturers, like Philips, have dropped their lines. CE was supposed to be incorporated into Sega's Dreamcast, but it looks like the consolemaker isn't playing ball. Microsoft wants to make a Windows-based game machine, the X-box, but the big-dream wunderkinder who could have spearheaded such a project Karl Jacob and Steve Perlman have bolted. And Microsoft's 3-D wizards? They're still polishing Chrome.
The barbarians led by Bill Gates have settled down. Seattle's a good place to raise kids. And after awhile, even for Redmond's nerd-studs, raising kids gets more interesting than raising Bill Gates' net worth. Sure, they're rich in options, but that particular financial
pyramid precarious every day. Options look like a cheap way to pay people, until you realize that the corporate treasury will one day have to buy back those shares, at inflated prices. No wonder Ballmer's been rolling around like a loose cannon, trying to knock some sense into the market.
But Bill is the real problem. At a recent shareholders' meeting, Gates said he wouldn't back down and let PC makers customize the Windows desktop. That would be fine if Microsoft were actually making anyone besides its unfortunate army of certified systems engineers happy. Instead, Gates' stubborn stance reminds one of Henry Ford's dictate that customers can have cars in any color they like as long as it's black.
And when your computer crashes, you can have any screen as long as it's blue.
courtesy of Jonathan Van Decimeter |
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