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"a fish, a barrel, and a smoking gun" |
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Nobody resented Woz. Nobody keyed Woz's copper-colored Porsche. Truck drivers, Wall Street tycoons, and 12-year-old Atari videogame champions could all agree: Steve Wozniak, inventor of the personal computer and poster child of Silicon Valley in the '70s, deserved every penny he earned. Woz was thought to have accomplished something beyond the powers of mortal men: Just for starters, he programmed a machine to simulate a ball bouncing off a moving paddle and breaking through multicolored, animated bricks. And he didn't just write the software he also designed the chip. Atari's most popular arcade game, Breakout, was now available in your own home. For an encore, he invented the floppy drive. Genius! After Woz, at 26, created the Apple II, people wrote breathless and completely justified paeans to his precocious talent and his great fortune which amounted to more than US$100 million. Paperback biographies could be found in airport bookstores, with titles like The Wizard Called Woz. After crashing his personal airplane and leaving Apple, Woz turned his attention to another fundamental human problem: the proliferation of remote controls for electronic appliances. Using his own money and his own programming skills Woz started a company whose mission it was to empower people to turn off their CD players and turn on MTV without switching devices. Meanwhile, with his extra cash, he paid for fun, money-losing rock concerts with Bill Graham, who returned the favor by calling the bearded Wunderkind (affectionately, we're sure) "a simpleton." OK, so people took advantage of Woz. But they never hated him. Of course, that was back when $100 million was real money, before the advent of Internet insta-wealth. The dogma that money flows toward the best
ideas passionately in Silicon Valley than anywhere else in America, which is why everybody who knows Perl has to answer the question: "If you're so smart, why aren't you rich?" And rich doesn't mean six figures. Or seven. Or eight. "A million dollars?" we heard one bearded sadist say to a young man who hadn't yet come up with his big score. "I make that much in interest." Perhaps the class of 1950 had to deal with a similar problem at its 25th reunion a midlife reckoning among competitive classmates with brilliant careers. But the crisis today has nothing to do with careers. This is just about money.
The change started with Microsoft. Bill Gates got rich on something you could imagine pulling off yourself: a savvy bluff. What if IBM had said, "Hold on there, Billy, we're happy to pay you a big fee, but we'd like an exclusive license for that operating system, thanks"? But they didn't, and young Billy kept a poker face, and good for him. It's not the same pure, childlike talent that makes Woz practically a saint, but it's an excellent story. Still, it signaled a definite adjustment in the balance between talent and luck. The anti-Microsoft passion that erupted in Silicon Valley in the early '90s had something to do with competitive resentment, and something to do with regional resentment, and something to do with high-minded aesthetic resentment. But that adds up, in our scientific estimation, to only about 10 percent of the total free-floating resentment. The rest was something else, something prescient, something visionary. It was windfall resentment. In 1994, things got worse. The first child-mogul of the Internet was Netscape's Marc Andreessen, who made a quick half-billion dollars commercializing a popular free program whose basic architecture was developed by a mild-mannered physicist in Europe. Now, we've met Andreessen, and we always like to reassure people that he's a regular guy. To which the inevitable response is, exactly. What did he ever do for his $100 million? Invent the blink tag? Before Netscape's IPO, a self-confident Silicon Valley banker warned us against buying the stock. "Fuck Netscape," he said. "Any
dumbshit can write a browser On the other hand, if any dumbshit can write a browser, how smart do you have to be to make a catalog of Web sites? Bystanders who scorned Yahoo still resent the fact that two Stanford students, doing approximately the same kind of work for which travel publishers pay interns $200 a week, followed Andreessen into the lap dance of Fortune. "How much do they want, $10 million?" laughed a would-be-tycoon of our acquaintance when Yahoo was shopping around for financing. He waved his hands. "For that much money, I'll make my own Internet catalog."
Our tycoon buddy didn't actually get around to creating that catalog, unfortunately, or we would have hit him up for a few shares at the offering price. It's hard to get over these "close calls." For every billion-dollar Web site, there are thousands of people who can show you the email to prove they had the same idea at the same time and rejected it because it was too trivial. A Web site from which you can send free email? Easy, but where's the revenue? A Web-page hosting service? No problem, but what's your competitive advantage? Only relatively simple-minded people start a business without any prospect of profit, you thought then. And only now, when the full force of envy has arrived, do you slap your forehead and mutter, "It was too goddamn
stupid to fail If Hotmail and GeoCities inspire mean-spirited ridicule, how do you think people react to the name Pierre Omidyar, who built a little trading system so that his girlfriend could swap Pez dispensers? When non-millionaires in the Bay Area realize that Omidyar could buy 10 Wozniaks with his founder's stock in eBay, they actually get grayish-green with moral outrage. Still, the capacity of the Internet supermoguls to inspire envy is limited. Their wealth is exposed to the last zero in the Securities and Exchange Commission documents their companies are required to file. This reduces the capacity for imaginative exaggeration. And they are pioneers, of sorts, which gives them an aura of sanctity and almost suffices as a justification for fabulous rewards. It is the third wave of millionaires call them the millionaires next door who inspire the most pathos. Here's the kind of story we hear almost daily: A friend of a friend of ours, let's call her Indira, started at a Web company let's call it NiceWeb two years ago. While waiting in line for a chicken wrap last week, our friend overheard Indira saying that she's really sick of her job cutting and pasting credit-card data into email. But she can't afford to quit. At her current NiceWeb stock-vesting schedule, she's making more than $2,000 a day. "I'm so glad that wasn't what I was thinking about when I was 22 or 23," said our friend, his voice creaking with what we suppose was gratitude. "She probably spends all her time doing the addition." He moved the fingers of his right hand against the palm of his left. "Wow, half a million per year," he counted sadly. "Her perspective on life must be completely distorted."
We agree entirely. It's growing more and more difficult to keep your head on straight during these days of excess liquidity. Another young San Franciscan we know loves to tell us about the manager of the convenience store on his block, who, last year, sunk his entire savings into a portfolio of Yahoo, Amazon, and Excite. "I told him it was a stupid thing to do, but he's not a very sophisticated investor," our friend told us. "He thinks that because he made a quarter of a million dollars last year he's got a great strategy. Every morning I tell him to sell, or at least to switch to an index fund, but he never listens. He just points to his new SUV and laughs and says, 'I paid cash.'" How could we comfort him? He'd been smart enough not to buy eBay, but even if he'd been a little dumber, and bought it after it doubled or tripled from its offering price of $18, he'd never have been able to resist selling out at $100 or $200 or $600. So even if he'd made good money, he would still be suffering from an inferiority complex that would grow worse with every 20-point daily gain. "Maybe you should buy some eBay now?" we ventured. "How fucking stupid do you think I am?" was the inevitable reply. courtesy of The Day Traders |
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