"a fish, a barrel, and a smoking gun" |
Cliffhanger
Charmingly bad network TV will end a season in that borrowed device from Depression-era cinema, the cliffhanger, leaving you on the edge of your seat as the credits roll and you wonder how the writers will manage to get your heroes out of the seemingly no-win situation they're left in until next season. The secret, of course, is that the writers don't have a clue as to what happens next; they'll worry about that when the contract gets renewed. We shouldn't have been surprised, then, when the same stunt was pulled last week in our favorite ongoing serial, "The Marc and Jim Show". Most of the action took place at the WebInnovation conference, a dubious event designed to extract a "fat g" from overpaid webmasters and industry wannabes. We had hoped to ignore the event, since conventional wisdom says that anything of importance would have happened at Comdex, as the so-called movers and shakers of the biz head out for ski vacations or bask in the tropical sun. But it soon became apparent that our friends at Sun, Netscape, Macromedia, and SGI had decided to sponsor a Christmas special, the draw being the identity of the mystery guest star... Faithful Suck readers will fondly recall our rant against Macromedia's Shockwave. It was with no surprise that we saw our worst fears realized in a multimedia nightmare before Christmas as a hundred Shockwave-powered sights went online. Among the Shockwave "Vanguard" were such cutting-edge favorites as Melrose Place and c|net. (And we simply love that the Vanguard page crashes our copy of Netscape every time we visit - talk about getting Shocked.) More promising is SGI's new Java-based Cosmo multimedia system. There's no love lost between Sun and SGI, Sun execs being known for making unflattering comments about SGI as the last of the minicomputer manufacturers, so SGI's Java license is a bit of a surprise, as is the partnering between SGI, Sun, and Macromedia to create a few APIs. We hope there's lots of room in the sandbox... Meanwhile, Netscape took a preemptive shot at Microsoft with the announcement of JavaScript, the renamed and rehyped version of Netscape's still-unfinished LiveScript scripting language. LiveScript, of course, was originally called JavaScript, until Sun forced Netscape to change the name, most likely because it had remarkably little in common with Java. Sun's better judgment was undoubtedly swayed by a hefty payoff from the Netscape coffers - the cheap decaffeinated brand didn't seem to have as bitter an aftertaste once Sun could afford a little nondairy creamer. The JavaScript announcement can be seen as being aimed directly at Bill "Java is here to overthrow what we've done" Gates, who is well known to dislike all languages not spelled B-A-S-I-C, and preceded with a "Microsoft" and a "Visual". While industry analysts were hailing the decisive blow against Microsoft, those in the know were questioning the wisdom of embedding scripts within HTML pages. Things haven't been looking good for Microsoft, despite the ability of their MSIE development team to toss out a lot of Spyglass code to fashion a half-decent "Netscape-compatible" browser - which is how Explorer advertises itself to servers to get all the Netscape goodies, including those server pushes Explorer doesn't know what to do with (besides put up a broken image icon). The big announcement by Microsoft of Visual Basic
Script before the planned Pearl Harbor Day press "workshop", despite (or perhaps because of) endorsement by key players such as Oracle. We imagine fearful Microsoft execs whispering among themselves that the scene was the bunker all over again. Microsoft decided to follow the old adage that if you're being run out of town, wave a baton and make it look like a parade. The denouement came late in the day on Thursday, when Microsoft announced that it had licensed
Java already outlined a non-Java "Internet Strategy" to press and analysts. Netscape was clearly caught with its pants down by Microsoft's surprise move. It's been a while since Gates has been backed into a corner, and Netscape was counting on Microsoft being unwilling to hedge his bet on Visual Basic. Netscape's blood was spilled on Wall Street, as their stock took a hit. Not enough to permanently scar them, but a reminder that the game is played for keeps.
The obvious winner by the end of the week was Sun, who has both Microsoft and Netscape eating out of its hand. Sun now has two challenges to face with Java. The first is scaling its efforts in order to deliver on all the promises of a true cross-platform programming language without losing momentum. Rather than finger-pointing at failed Unix consortiums, we'll trust that Sun learned its lessons the first, second, and third times around, and will somehow avoid the inevitable. More difficult will be managing the friction that's sure to occur between it and Netscape, which has taken much of the credit for Java's success and has, up to now, treated Sun like a sidekick. Not that we expect Netscape to take our advice, but our counsel would be to take a deep breath and not panic. Sure, if Microsoft isn't going after your browser market, it's trying to raid the corporate coffers by breaking in via the BackOffice with its NT-based Web server, with obvious eyes towards that intranet market that drives a good portion of your revenues. Then shed some of the ego, roll up your sleeves, and deliver a bug-free 2.0. Or at least announce a ship date. Try to deliver Java support on the Mac before Microsoft does. By the way, did you notice that Explorer is really free, versus Navigator being kinda free? Yeah, we did too. One last point about the Mac - since we're being presumptive enough to help write others' New Year's resolutions for them, we'd like to make a suggestion to Apple, which has been conspicuously absent from the fray. Word on the street is that Apple will introduce more net products at MacWorld Expo next month. If a Java license isn't in the mix, don't bother. courtesy of Strep Throat
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