"a fish, a barrel, and a smoking gun" |
Toy Story
"A Reality Distortion Field." That's how people describe the effect Steve Jobs can create at his hypefests, where he has the uncanny ability to temporarily make the most preposterous schemes seem downright practical. Since his parting with Apple in 1985, though, Jobs's track record has been "insanely fucked," wrought with a series of mis-steps generously categorized as "ideas ahead of their time." A decade later, one of Jobs's post-Apple projects is set to pay off big-time - to the tune of $400 mil. Interesting news came down the pike late last week with the announcement that Pixar, which Jobs invested $10mil in back in 1986, is planning on going public with an IPO of 6.9 million shares at $12 to $14 per share this fall. And if consumer-driven excitement is any indication of a company's market potential, count on the post-Toy Story Pixar to make Jobs, who owns 30 million shares (eighty percent of the company), insanely rich once again. That the Pixar/Disney Toy Story will rake in the tall dollars is beyond question. Pixar's animators are notoriously talented, and Toy Story's director/writer is none other than John Lasseter, the man responsible for such animation festival favorites as Luxo Jr. and 3-D Knickknack. Lasseter, along with fellow ex-Disney malcontent Tim Burton, left the fold back in the early 80's and have since gone on to establish themselves as eye-candy auteurs, with wildly divergent visions but equal acclaim. Toy Story, Lasseter's first feature, is the antiseptic antipode to Burton's dark kiddie-fodder (Nightmare Before Christmas, Edward Scissorhands, and Batman Returns, to name a few), and may very likely balance the box-office scales between Lasseter and his former colleague.
If buying into Netscape was tantamount to buying a part of the glitzy, hyped face of the Internet, buying into Pixar could be akin to buying into the glitzy, hyped face of computer power. And it's not a little ironic that Jobs, who has made a career out of trying to sell his grand visions of the future, has succeeded in the one realm where the pitch itself commands the price of admission.
The question is whether Jobs will throw some of this newly-acquired wealth back into his projects that demand more cooperation from the consumer than the purchase of an $8 ticket (with a $40 Buzz Lightyear doll thrown in for good measure, of course). While Jobs gushes about Toy
Story equivalent of Snow White and Technicolor, his other Big Idea, though far less assured in its success, may be far more radical. After banging the object drum to industry indifference for the last few years, Job's "other company", NeXT, is in the position to say "I told you so" as the rest of the industry catches up. The problem is that, as is the case for most pioneers, profiting from being there first is not as easy as it would seem. NeXT has had this happen to them before, like having to watch Microsoft's Visual Basic capitalize on many early NeXT innovations like the Interface Builder. The end result is a cool booth to visit at Comdex, but you wouldn't want to live there.
Pundits within the pocket protector crowd tend to favor one of two opinions about NeXT. They either seem to think that the company has fallen off the face of the earth, or conversely, that, like flared pants, it's going to make a huge comeback. The fact is that after its early affair with the academic community, where scores of cubes were deposited on students' desks in a bizarre replay of Apple's "Schools Can't Wait" Apple II promotion, the company rediscovered the profit motive (probably drilled in with the help of hand-made charts and homespun homilies from former board member H. Ross Perot) and went after the big-ticket world of enterprise systems. That means databases, and we're not talking FileMaker Pro here. NeXT took its show to corporate America, and has managed to succeed where Apple has failed, based on a technical lead in rapid vertical-application development tools - a happy accident of NeXT's adoption of the Mach kernel, that OS that Carnegie-Mellon just happened to have lying around when Jobs needed one for his new black box. Half a decade later, the Object is the Advantage and NeXT has started making money, which means that Jobs is free to start thinking big again. WebObjects is NeXT's new big thing. Think of it as Java for Web servers: intelligent objects running over high-speed networks and across multiple OS's, providing the back-end muscle for truly interactive information-rich applications. The beauty of WebObjects is that, even though all that anybody has seen of WebObjects is the typical Jobs hand-waving on CNN and some very handsomely crafted flow charts, it's proven technology. Information Technology Solutions has been shipping WebRex since before this summer's ObjectWorld. WebRex is a lot like WebObjects, except it's not vaporware.
Will NeXT, thanks to WebObjects, transform from the LauGHiNGSTOCK of the computer industry into a smart, long-term investment along the lines of Pixar? If you believe in the product, you could always apply for the job at NeXT to develop it. The compensation package includes stock options, but maybe you could swing a deal for some of that Pixar stock instead. courtesy of the Duke of URL and Strep Throat
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